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The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise Why Most Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
Author: Nate Silver
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair?s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger?all by the time he was thirty. The New York Times now publishes FiveThirtyEight.com, where Silver is one of the nation?s most influential political forecasters. — Drawing on ...  more »
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ISBN-13: 9781594204111
ISBN-10: 159420411X
Publication Date: 9/27/2012
Pages: 352
Rating:
  • Currently 4.2/5 Stars.
 7

4.2 stars, based on 7 ratings
Publisher: Penguin Press HC, The
Book Type: Hardcover
Other Versions: Paperback
Members Wishing: 74
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Top Member Book Reviews

reviewed The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail-But Some Don't on + 164 more book reviews
Helpful Score: 2
In an imaginary world where people self-motivate to become better people, and to spend each day moving toward substance and moving away from fluff and appearance, this book would be read by every person in the world.

That's frustrating, but at least the people who do read this book can make the world a little better. Seriously. Reading this book will make the world a better place.

Understanding that employing probabilities is wise, and that a demonstration of confidence in knowledge is usually a sign of self-delusion, can help everybody.

Silver looks at baseball, weather, earthquakes, terrorism, poker, chess, Bayes' theorem and a few other things but makes it all easy to follow. No hard math.

Thank you, Nate Silver - you're making the world better.
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reviewed The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail-But Some Don't on + 15 more book reviews
I still remember when Nate Silver joined our research team at SABR... we all agreed that this young lad was going places.

This book is a very enjoyable read for both statisticians and laypersons. Nate delves into the human element that often misguides us when we forget how statistics can be manipulated toward an end game... and shows us that these same statistics can be used in context to predict outcomes with remarkable accuracy.


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